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Brief - Policy Brief

Deep Waters: How ignoring uncertainty in hydrological modelling increases water security risk

Published: 2023
Report No: WRC project 2022-23-00967
Authors: Glenday J, Rebelo AJ, Holden P, Tanner J, Gwapedza D, Gokool S, Jumbi FT

Abstract

Deep waters UoeP Streamflow predictions from hydrological models can be highly uncertain. This is due to uncertainties in data and in the modelling process. Uncertainty can be high even when models compare well with observed streamflowUolT UoeP Uncertainty in hydrological modelling generally goes unquantified and unaccounted for in decision making.

Authors

GJ
Glenday J
RA
Rebelo AJ
HP
Holden P
TJ
Tanner J
GD
Gwapedza D
GS
Gokool S
JF
Jumbi FT

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